Monday, May 11, 2026

Something to Know - 11 May

We know that Trump had made a mess of trying to create a war with Iran.  He feels boxed in and wants to walk away from it.   But, he can't.   The pesky accountability of the Trump-Epstein files he knows would ruin him.   Along with his unfavorable poll ratings, he seems to recognize that after commanding Stephen Miller to plan and spend with carte blanche to raise hell with immigrants and anyone who gets in his way, he is backing away from the moves that scare the heck out of everybody.   The hospitality lobby confronted Trump because he was making it difficult to staff all the necessary positions required to operate hotels and resorts.  Hotels and casinos and luxury resorts need plenty of low-wage workers, and Stephen Miller was making things very difficult; so TACO Trump capitulated.   Stephen Miller has been reigned in, supposedly.   We'll see where this goes.  https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/05/stephen-miller-trump-ice-immigration/687103/

Collage of Stephen Miller, Donald Trump, Homeland Security department seal, agents with "POLICE" written on uniform, White House; in red, white, and black
Illustration by Lucy Naland*


POLITICS

Stephen Miller in Retreat

The once-powerful aide’s influence has quietly diminished.

By Michael Scherer and Nick Miroff




Just hours before Stephen miller arrived at the Mar-a-Lago ballroom on New Year’s Eve—where he would welcome 2026 by dancing next to the soon-to-be-defenestrated homeland security secretary, Kristi Noem, as the 1990s cultural relic Vanilla Ice performed—he won a great, though ultimately fleeting, victory. The Labor Department’s Foreign Labor Certification office announced that the Trump administration would cut the number of approved visas for seasonal workers by about 50 percent. Miller had been trying since his days as a Senate aide to reduce reliance on visas granted annually to the hospitality, construction, and landscaping industries.


But the plan unraveled within weeks. After the killing of two protesters in Minneapolis, President Trump reversed the visa cuts as part of a late-January retreat from Miller’s hard-edged goals. Miller was not involved in the walk-back, according to two people with knowledge of the process and who requested anonymity to discuss internal deliberations. Instead, Trump made the decision with the “border czar,” Tom Homan, and others after hearing about concerns from hospitality-industry employers, they said.

The reversal was one of the earliest signs that Miller’s influence is on the wane. Others have followed. The White House deputy chief of staff and homeland security adviser designed Trump’s second-term immigration agenda. But weeks into the new year, the president dismantled the roving Border Patrol strike forces that Miller had encouraged; turned on Noem, who had carried out Miller’s aggressive instructions; and handed control of the deportation program back to career law-enforcement officials.

White House insiders said that Miller remains a top adviser to the president, that he has a singular relationship to Trump built over the past decade, and that his job is not in jeopardy. Immigration enforcement remains a central theme of the administration and is expected to feature prominently in Trump’s midterm-election messaging. They said that Miller has always seen himself as a staffer who subordinates his own opinions on policy to the agenda of the president, even when it shifts. “The President loves Stephen,” White House Communications Director Steven Cheung told us in a statement. “And the White House staff respects him tremendously.”


But Trump, who has previously joked that Miller’s “truest feelings” are so extreme that they should not be aired publicly, has also told others in recent weeks that he understands Miller sometimes goes too far, advisers told us. They said that Trump recognized immediately after the second killing in Minneapolis, of the protester Alex Pretti, that the policy needed to shift, and he did not embrace Miller’s public description of Pretti as a “domestic terrorist.” The question now is how long Trump will hold Miller and his policy prescriptions at a distance.

“I think the president knows very, very well what he can go to Stephen for, and what he probably shouldn’t tell him if he doesn’t want to get an earful,” one former administration official told us. Another adviser described Trump’s view of Miller more bluntly: “The president knows who he is, period.”


The setback for miller is striking largely because his rise was so stunning. No White House official in recent history—since Vice President Dick Cheney in the early 2000s, perhaps—has had such a dramatic and direct impact on U.S. government policy and such operational sway over so many parts of government.



Miller oversaw the drafting and release of executive orders in the early days of Trump’s second term, sat at the table for early national-security decisions, and was the driving force behind legislation that awarded $175 billion in funding for immigration enforcement, allowing for more Immigration and Customs Enforcement officers, detention centers, and deportation flights. It was Miller who set a goal of 3,000 ICE arrests a day to hit his target of 1 million deportations a year, matching the legislative goals that he helped draft. He instructed ICE officers to sweep through Home Depot parking lots to help meet that goal. When street clashes over enforcement started, he publicly declared that officers had “federal immunity” for their actions on the job, and he helped draft a national-security memorandum that told law enforcement to treat even peaceful anti-deportation protests and the release of personal details about government officials as telltale signs of potential “domestic terrorism” conspiracies.

But the second year of Trump’s second term is being directed by a new immigration-enforcement team. The new secretary of homeland security, former Senator Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma, took over in late March with a mandate to get back to basics. Leaders of the department who had been sidelined by Noem, such as Customs and Border Protection Commissioner Rodney Scott, suddenly found themselves empowered. Employees she had pushed out, such as former Deputy Secretary Troy Edgar and the CBP official Matt Eagan, were welcomed back. Andrew Block, a close ally of Miller who served as CBP’s chief counsel, was shown the door, according to two people briefed on the change. (Block did not respond to a request for comment.)


Read: The $97 million Utah warehouse ICE bought for $145 million

Underlying all of the changes was a return to conventional ICE “targeted enforcement” tactics that prioritize immigrants with criminal records or pending deportation orders, and that seek to make arrests with less drama. The change in policy has shown up in the numbers. In March, ICE made about 30,000 arrests, down from 36,000 in January, the data show—well below Miller’s goal of 3,000 detentions a day. The drop is even more remarkable because it follows a hiring surge last fall—pushed by Miller—to add 12,000 ICE officers and agents. ICE also has fewer immigrants in its jails now, the latest statistics show. The number of detainees has dropped from about 70,000 in late January to roughly 60,000 late last month, according to the latest internal data.


The strategy, blessed by Trump, is a relief for Republican campaign strategists who watched with trepidation as the street battles in Minneapolis turned immigration, an issue that Trump had dominated in 2024, into a liability. Of all the standard policy-approval questions asked about presidents, immigration was the one that Trump came into office for his second term with the highest ratings on—a net positive of 7 percentage points, according to the polling average kept by Silver Bulletin, Nate Silver’s Substack. That fell to a negative-14-point rating in February 2026, before recovering to negative-10 points since then. Miller’s allies, for their part, blame the Department of Homeland Security for feeding the White House incorrect information after Pretti’s death that suggested that he was the aggressor.

Mullin, who has no prior federal-law-enforcement experience, is being mentored by Homan, a former acting director of ICE, who started working for the federal government in 1984. Homan gave a keynote speech at a border-security conference in Phoenix this week that was attended by top DHS officials, telling the audience that the mass-deportation plan remains on track. “You ain’t seen shit yet,” Homan said, drawing cheers. His message was mostly aimed at critics on the right who say the administration is backing off.


Homan, who kept an arms-length relationship with Noem, has said that he speaks with Mullin “every day, several times a day.” Miller also speaks with Mullin regularly, a White House official told us. In a statement for this story, Mullin told us that he works closely with both Homan and Miller. “Everyone’s on the same page,” Mullin said.

But in contrast with the legislative negotiations over DHS funding last year, Homan and Mullin, not Miller, were the ones involved in talks on Capitol Hill to restore DHS funding this year, according to two DHS officials. Miller continues to conduct daily 10 a.m. conference calls with senior officials at the department and with other agencies involved in immigration enforcement, but the general tone has been less demanding in recent weeks, two people with knowledge of the calls told us. And the power center has shifted. “The new secretary is listening to Tom Homan and Rodney Scott before he is ever listening to Stephen Miller,” a senior administration official told us. “We just have law enforcement in charge.”


Miller allies say that much of his direct involvement last year with the Department of Homeland Security was needed to help Noem, who regularly feuded with heads of other agencies, requiring Miller to play a more hands-on role. “The entire White House has to worry less about cleaning up after DHS with new leadership in there,” the White House official told us.

There have been no accounts of clashes or tension between Homan and Miller, and the former has even praised the latter as “one of the most brilliant people I’ve met in my entire life.” But from the start of the administration, they have advocated for different approaches to Trump’s mass-deportation campaign. Miller has emphasized sheer numbers, and Homan prefers a quality-over-quantity approach that prioritizes immigrants with criminal records. “I have always worked, and continue to work closely, with Stephen and now Secretary Mullin to deliver on the President’s commitment to the American people,” Homan told us in a statement.


But Homan’s approach is the predominant one right now, and the department has been quietly reversing changes that Miller ordered. Miller had pushed aggressively to fast-track training for new ICE hires, slashing the academy course to about eight weeks. The accelerated schedule alarmed veteran ICE officers, and the hiring surge was marred by high dropout rates. In recent weeks, ICE reverted to a four-and-a-half-month training program similar to its former academy course, according to three officials who were not authorized to discuss the change.

Read: ICE’s ‘athletically allergic’ recruits

Miller has moved his focus to a new task force aimed at uncovering “fraud” among immigrant communities. He still posts regularly on social media about violent crime by undocumented migrants. He has stopped publicly railing against the domestic-terrorism threat of liberal activists, although a new counterterrorism strategy released this week still lists “Violent Left-Wing Extremists” (but not violent right-wing extremists) as a threat on par with narco- and Islamic terrorists. He has also begun to push for more radical congressional redistricting, arguing that Republicans could pick up 40 seats or more if they take advantage of the recent Supreme Court Voting Rights Act ruling, overhaul the Census, and persuade courts to exclude undocumented immigrants from population counts that determine how many seats are given to each state.


Several people we spoke with said that it is just a matter of time before Miller is able to reassert himself with new initiatives inside the administration. One former department official cautioned us against counting out Miller or predicting a long-term loss of influence on immigration policy. “In the end, Stephen is the one who comes up with new ideas,” the former official said. “As much as everyone loves Tom Homan, he’s not going to say ‘Here’s a unique authority we could use to do X, Y and Z.’ But the president likes Homan’s approach at the moment.”

This is not the first time Miller’s hard-line approach has hurt Trump politically. In the spring of 2018, Miller championed the policy of separating migrant parents from their children at the border, saying at the time that he viewed it as an effective way of deterring migrants from attempting the journey in the first place. That backlash was bipartisan and intense, forcing Trump to reverse course within weeks. The episode became one of the most glaring missteps of Trump’s first term, and it galvanized Democrats, fueling the party’s midterm victories. Miller took the setback in stride, retreating to craft new restrictions on migration that used laws designed to protect the nation from disease to cut refugee admissions and block asylum seekers after the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.


But there are clear signs that Miller has not backed away from his own views on immigration—including on H-2B visas. As an aide to Senator Jeff Sessions in 2015, Miller helped oppose an effort by then–Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, a Republican, to raise the cap on the visas. (Sessions argued that temporary workers threatened “jobs and livelihoods of thousands of loyal Americans.”) In 2017, Miller emailed then–Labor Secretary Alex Acosta an article about rising wages in a Maine resort town after a shortage of H-2B visas. “Markets work,” was the subject line, according to a document obtained through a public-records request by American Oversight.

The day after the news broke this year that Trump had reversed his cuts to the H-2B visa program, Miller took to social media to broadly condemn any effort to experiment with “importing a foreign labor class.” “All visas,” he wrote, “are a bridge to citizenship.” It was as close as the staffer would get to criticizing his boss.







--
****
Juan Matute
R.B.R.
C.C.R.C.


Sunday, May 10, 2026

Something to Know - 10 May (again)

The flavor of some newsletters, though not all, seems to have morphed away from the minutiae of sordid details of the microcosm to a wider macro view of the situation.   So, to this, we have Mary Geddry sounding forth on the total behavior of our "stable genius" president.   Remember, this is the guy who is taking our tax money, and disregarding the direction of those funds to his own playpen of ego-driven games.  

Geddry’s Newsletter a Publication of nGenium marygeddry@substack.com 

9:17 AM (50 minutes ago)
to me

This Is Not The Way

Trump, the empire's graphic design department, and a Mother's Day dispatch from the edge of the galaxy far, far away where we apparently now live.

May 10
 
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Good morning! Happy Mother’s Day to everyone celebrating, remembering, grieving, mothering, being mothered, including you single dads doing double duty!

Today’s roundup is going to be brief because I’m spending the day with my kids, which feels like the correct and morally superior use of my time. The news will still be terrible tomorrow. Democracy’s group project will still be on fire. The usual suspects will still be lying into microphones like it’s cardio. So today: a shorter cup of coffee, a few things worth noting, and then I’m logging off to be with the people who made me a mother in the first place.

Unfortunately, before I can go enjoy pancakes and familial affection, we do need to check in on the President of the United States, whose brain continues to be available in real time through Truth Social, like a national security briefing written by a haunted slot machine.

NPR analyzed Trump’s first four months of Truth Social posts this year and found that he posted 2,249 times, averaging just under 19 posts a day. His most common topic was the 2026 elections, followed by Iran and the economy, but the real story is the scattershot obsession. Trump posted 71 times about the 2020 election lie, more often than he posted about tariffs. He posted 68 times about his various Washington, D.C. building projects, including his White House ballroom and proposed arch, more often than he posted about Venezuela, the SAVE Act, or the Minneapolis protests and federal agents. And he posted more than six times as often about his legal grievances as he did about health care policy. Sort of a live feed from the presidential id.

On March 1, the day after U.S. forces bombed Iran and launched a war now dragging into its tenth week, Trump posted 30 times. He did post about Iran, including a threat warning Tehran not to retaliate. But then, because the man has the attention span of a firework in a microwave, he also posted a video portraying Mitch McConnell as the dead guy from Weekend at Bernie’s, praise for his State of the Union, Trump-friendly news coverage, months-old celebrity-adjacent approval fluff, screenshots of people praising him online, and a video about San Francisco from an account called “truthaboutfluoride.”

Again: this was the day after he bombed Iran. It matters because the rest of the world is not treating Trump’s posts as harmless uncle-at-Thanksgiving nonsense. Adversaries, allies, markets, militaries, and diplomats all have to parse the difference between policy, impulse, threat, delusion, performance, and whatever category includes reposting pet videos next to war updates. Former national security adviser John Bolton told NPR that Trump’s ferocious posting about Iran may actually signal weakness to Tehran: if Iran waits him out, Bolton suggested, Trump may “flip right out entirely” and start offering concessions. Bolton’s verdict was concise: “Just being generically crazy does not give you an advantage.”

Regional reporting from Tehran suggests Iran is trying to send two messages at once: it is still leaving the door open to diplomacy, but it wants everyone to understand that its military is prepared for another round of confrontation. According to Al Jazeera’s reporting from Tehran, Iranian military officials are describing the country as fully prepared after attacks on coastal areas and oil tankers, warning that Iran’s “strategic patience” is over and that its forces have “fingers on the trigger.” Military spokesmen are also threatening “surprises” involving new weapons, new methods of warfare, and new arenas of conflict if Iran is attacked again. It feels like the diplomatic equivalent of saying, “We are open to talking, but please note that the flamethrower is plugged in.”

The Strait of Hormuz remains the pressure point, and the rhetoric surrounding it is increasingly dangerous. Tehran is insisting that negotiations are not surrender; Washington is still pressing for a deal, and both sides are behaving like people standing in a room full of leaking gas while debating whether sparks are technically part of the negotiation process. Iran’s president is saying the Iranian nation will not bow before its enemies, while military officials are emphasizing readiness for “hostile action” and “confrontational scenarios.”

No “war or diplomacy.” This is war and diplomacy walking down the same hallway, bumping shoulders, each pretending the other one is not there.

Trump is preparing for a high-stakes meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing next week, because apparently Mother’s Day weekend needed a little “two most powerful men on Earth compare grievances while the world economy sweats through its shirt” energy.

The agenda is enormous: Iran, trade, Taiwan, artificial intelligence, rare earths, semiconductors, fentanyl, the South China Sea, China’s nuclear buildup, and the case of jailed Hong Kong democracy activist Jimmy Lai. Expectations, however, are modest. The most likely outcome appears to be some limited investment agreements and an extension of the temporary trade truce Trump and Xi struck after last year’s bruising tariff fight.

The more revealing part is the backdrop. Trump enters the summit entangled in a war with Iran, China’s closest partner in the Middle East, while the conflict has helped trigger a global energy crisis and pulled U.S. military attention and resources away from Asia. The war has also depleted American munitions, raising questions among some Chinese analysts about whether the United States could defend Taiwan if Beijing decided to test the moment.

Xi, meanwhile, is not exactly arriving from a position of carefree strength. China is dealing with slower growth, higher energy costs, and the threat of a global recession that could hit its export-heavy economy hard. So the meeting may be less about solving the U.S.-China rivalry than about both men trying to buy time while sharpening the knives behind their backs. Not the kind of thing one wants simmering in the background while trying to enjoy pancakes with the kids.

Speaking of strongmen pretending chaos is strategy, Putin appears to be borrowing from Donald Trump’s favorite playbook: announce that something is basically solved, then let the fine print reveal that nothing has actually changed.

Putin claimed the war in Ukraine is “coming to an end,” but senior Kremlin officials immediately made clear there is no quick peace on the table. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said the United States may be “in a hurry,” but a Ukraine settlement is “too complex” and peace remains “a very long road.” Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov said negotiations would “probably resume,” but Moscow sees no basis for new trilateral talks until Ukrainian forces withdraw from the Donetsk region, a demand Kyiv has already rejected.

Kyiv Post and Kyiv Independent are reporting the same basic posture from Moscow: Russia is insisting that progress will remain frozen unless Ukraine gives up Donbas, including territory Russia has failed to seize after years of brutal, costly offensives. At the same time, the Kremlin says it expects Trump envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to return to Moscow “quite soon” for more talks, despite the fact that Trump’s envoys have reportedly made repeated trips to Russia while still not visiting Kyiv.

That is not exactly a subtle diplomatic signal. It looks less like a peace process than Moscow auditioning for a surrender process with American middlemen in the room.

Ukraine, meanwhile, is calling for an unconditional ceasefire along the current front lines as the starting point for talks. Russia is demanding the entire Donbas region, including territory it could not conquer militarily. So Putin gets to sound reasonable, Trump’s envoys get to look busy, and the actual Russian condition remains: Ukraine must give Russia what Russia could not win.

Classic strongman theater: declare victory-ish, demand surrender-ish, call it diplomacy, and hope everyone mistakes exhaustion for peace.

Which brings us, somehow inevitably, to Trump dressed as a Mandalorian.

Subtlety died of embarrassment sometime around 2016, so the White House marked Star Wars Day by circulating an image of Trump styled as a Mandalorian warrior, complete with armor, halo lighting, an American flag, Grogu tucked into his gear, and a tiny White House glowing in the corner like a nationalist snow globe.

The caption reportedly read: “In a galaxy that demands strength, America stands ready. This is the way. May the 4th be with you.”

The key detail is the White House watermark. This was not just some random MAGA meme scraped from the internet and passed around by a guy named PatriotEagle1776 whose profile picture is a truck wearing sunglasses. This was branded through the official machinery of the presidency. That turns the whole thing from embarrassing fan art into state-sponsored cosplay propaganda.

And the timing is fascinating. The post came as Disney was ramping up publicity for The Mandalorian & Grogu, opening May 22. So the White House essentially used Disney’s own intellectual property to generate either free publicity or a poisoned promotional tie-in for a Disney blockbuster while simultaneously existing in an adversarial relationship with the company.

Lucasfilm had no comment, according to The Hollywood Reporter, which starts to look less like capitulation and more like a cold calculation. Why hand Trump a fight that would only draw more attention to the image days before opening weekend? Disney is many things, but allergic to risk is certainly one of them. Sometimes the mouse does not roar because the mouse has done the math.

Still, the image itself deserves attention because it is not merely ridiculous. It is revealing.

Trump’s political movement constantly tries to appropriate the language of rebellion while behaving like the empire. They cast themselves as freedom fighters while demanding loyalty oaths, targeting enemies, punishing dissent, militarizing civic life, and turning the presidency into a merch table with subpoenas. They want the aesthetics of resistance without the inconvenience of resisting power, because they are the power.

That is why the Star Wars imagery is such a spectacular self-own.

George Lucas built Star Wars out of the visual language of empire, fascism, rebellion, myth, and propaganda. He did not accidentally borrow from authoritarian spectacle; he studied it, repurposed it, and made it legible to modern audiences. The throne room ceremony in A New Hope famously draws on the staging of Leni Riefenstahl’s Triumph of the Will. The monumental symmetry, the ceremonial procession, the massed bodies, the architecture of triumph, Lucas knew exactly what visual grammar he was invoking.

But the point was not to celebrate fascist spectacle. The point was to show how power wraps itself in grandeur, ritual, and heroic imagery. Star Wars is obsessed with how republics become empires, how fear becomes policy, how emergency powers become permanent, how myths can liberate or enslave, and how people convince themselves they are saving civilization while helping build the machine that crushes it.

And now the White House is apparently looking at that entire warning label and saying: great, but what if the emperor had better branding?

The image casts Trump as a mythic protector figure: armored, holy-lit, flag-bearing, carrying Grogu like a sacred child through the snow. It is paternal, militarized, sentimental, and authoritarian all at once. It is not just “Trump is strong.” It is “Trump is the guardian of innocence, the warrior-father, the chosen protector, the man who carries the future through the storm.”

That is not politics. That is cult iconography with a Disney+ subscription.

And it is especially absurd because The Mandalorian itself is a story about a lone warrior who slowly learns that rigid codes and weaponized identity are not enough. Din Djarin’s entire arc is about care breaking through dogma. Grogu is not a prop that makes the armored man look tender. Grogu is the moral center that forces the armored man to become something more human.

So naturally, the White House looked at that and thought: perfect, put the baby in the pouch and make the president look taller.

Fans immediately understood the problem. Earlier this year, Trump had also been depicted with a red lightsaber, the color associated with Sith Lords and villains in Star Wars lore. As one fan put it: “Imagine watching Star Wars and thinking that the ones with the red lightsabers are the good guys.”

Exactly.

This happens when a movement consumes pop culture entirely as branding, not meaning. They see armor and think hero. They see flags and think virtue. They see rebellion and imagine it means being rude to fact-checkers. They see Star Wars and somehow miss the part where the bad guys are the ones obsessed with domination, spectacle, loyalty, and crushing democratic resistance.

Of course, that is the whole trick. Authoritarian movements do not announce themselves by saying, “Good morning, we are here to destroy the republic.” They arrive wrapped in symbols people already love. They borrow the music, the myths, the heroes, the slogans. They call coercion strength and cruelty order. They call surrender peace, propaganda communication, and call cosplay leadership. Then they put a White House watermark on it.

So that is where we are this Mother’s Day: Trump rage-posting through a war, Iran warning that its fingers are on the trigger, Xi preparing to test a distracted and depleted America, Putin pretending his demand for Ukrainian surrender is a peace process, and the White House trying to turn the president into a Mandalorian saint while accidentally reminding everyone that the empire always had excellent graphic design.

The Force is not with this communications shop.

Happy Mother’s Day. Hug your people. Drink something warm. And may the fourth branch of government, exhausted women with coffee and Substack subscriptions, continue to hold the line.




--
****
Juan Matute
R.B.R.
C.C.R.C.


Something to Know - 10 May

One of the most exotic assignments in the White House  is the personal task force that Trump employs CGI cratsmen that creates and forwards all the weird cartoons and graphics for Trump to accompany his mindless screeds at all hours of the day.   This is our president.   How can he be taken seriously, for one thing, but why is it that his minders and his fraternal order of deranged elected congressmen stoop to silent obeyance to every crackpot scheme?    

Geddry’s Newsletter a Publication of nGenium marygeddry@substack.com 

7:46 PM (32 minutes ago)
to me
Forwarded this email? Subscribe here for more

Useful Fools

Trump, his enablers, and the oldest miscalculation in modern history

May 10
 
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The Useful Fools

On Saturday afternoon, while the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed to tanker traffic, while 1,600 ships sat bottled up in the Persian Gulf, while six people were reported missing after an overnight American strike on an Iranian port, the President of the United States posted an AI-generated image of himself standing on a Navy carrier deck watching ships explode.

He also posted “Bye Bye, Drones” above a graphic of a destroyer firing laser beams. He posted a before-and-after comparison: 159 Iranian ships sailing under Obama and Biden, 159 Iranian ships on the ocean floor under Trump. He posted “Drones Dropping Like Butterflies” alongside an AI rendering of Iranian drones falling into the sea. He posted a fat caricature of the Governor of Illinois eating a comically oversized meal. He did all of this from his golf course in Florida, where he was watching a tournament, between approximately 3:51 and 5:36 in the afternoon.

These timestamped posts are now part of the permanent record. Xi Jinping’s intelligence services don’t need to hack anything, they can scroll Truth Social. The IRGC’s strategic planners, whose missile capability remains largely intact despite the cartoon ocean floor imagery, are drawing their own conclusions about who they’re dealing with. Every adversary with an internet connection received, for free, on Saturday afternoon, a precise and detailed picture of the American president’s relationship with reality.

Thus far, Congress has said nothing. The GOP caucus, which controls the levers of oversight, which has access to classified damage assessments that reportedly contradict everything Pete Hegseth has told the public, which is constitutionally empowered to demand answers, said nothing. This is where the story stops being darkly comic and becomes something that requires a different kind of language.

History offers a useful framework, if we’re willing to use it honestly. When conservative German politicians handed Franz von Papen’s coalition the chancellorship in January 1933, they believed they were making a controlled transaction. Hitler was useful, a battering ram against the left, a mass mobilizer they could aim and redirect. Papen said the quiet part out loud: within two months, he assured his colleagues, they would have pushed Hitler into a corner so tight he’d squeak. The conservative establishment’s fatal miscalculation was not that they failed to see Hitler clearly, but that they saw him clearly enough to use him and believed that the same qualities that made him useful also made him manageable. They were wrong about the second part in ways that consumed them.

The Republican establishment has spent a decade making the same calculation. Trump was useful, a base mobilizer, a culture war instrument, a wrecking ball aimed at institutions they found inconvenient. They swallowed their private assessments and made their accommodations. What they failed to account for, as Papen failed to account for it, is that a man without genuine institutional loyalty, without consistent ideological commitments, without the normal political self-preservation instincts that make actors predictable, such a man cannot be contained by rational strategy. You cannot negotiate with someone who doesn’t experience consequences the way you do. The containment strategy contains nothing. It does, however, make the containers complicit.

The Night of the Long Knives, June 30 to July 2, 1934, is instructive here. Ernst Röhm had been Hitler’s oldest ally, one of the very few people who addressed him informally, a man who had been indispensable to the Nazi rise. He led the SA, the Brownshirts, the street muscle that had made everything possible. By 1934 Röhm had ambitions that made him inconvenient to the industrialists and military establishment whose support Hitler now needed more than he needed the SA. Over one weekend, Hitler had him murdered, along with the broader SA leadership and anyone else who had become inconvenient, rivals, witnesses, old enemies, Papen’s own secretary. Papen survived only because he was still momentarily useful. He was placed under house arrest and thoroughly terrified. Perhaps most chillingly, the German cabinet retroactively legalized the murders. The judiciary concurred, and the military, relieved that the SA threat to their institutional prerogatives had been eliminated, said nothing.

They got what they wanted in the short term. Then they lost everything on the longer timeline.

Consider the current roster of the useful and the spent.

Jeff Sessions was Attorney General. Mike Pence was Vice President. Bill Barr provided the juridical cover. James Mattis, John Kelly, H.R. McMaster, the adults in the room, as they were briefly and hopefully called, each made their calculation that their presence was moderating, stabilizing, essential. Each was consumed.

Consider Pam Bondi, the recently fired Attorney General, installed with a specific mandate to manage the Justice Department as a protective instrument. She is already caught between congressional pressure over the Epstein files and the demands of the man she serves, with no exit from that corridor that doesn’t damage her. Kristi Noem dismantled a carefully constructed political identity, the presidential-adjacent brand, the Mount Rushmore backdrop, and received in return the kind of casual dismissal reserved for people who’ve already been squeezed. Lori Chavez-DeRemer surrendered the independence that was her political identity for a cabinet position that has made her radioactive in exactly the districts she’d need to survive. Kash Patel is running the FBI on a mandate of retribution and loyalty, leaving a paper trail of his own that will outlast whatever protection he currently enjoys.

Protection is always conditional. It is always, eventually, withdrawn. Röhm knew Hitler from the very beginning and it did not save him.

After the collapse came Nuremberg. The trials established something legally new: that institutional complicity is its own category of crime, that the lawyers who wrote the opinions and the judges who signed the orders and the bureaucrats who processed the paperwork bore individual responsibility for what the machinery produced. “I was following orders” was not a defense. The Judges’ Trial prosecuted men who had simply done law, and found them guilty of the law they had done.

The American situation will not end in Nuremberg trials. The analog does not extend that far and it would be both inaccurate and hysterical to suggest it does. But the people who have used legal and institutional instruments to shield one man from accountability while dismantling the mechanisms designed to protect everyone else are creating a record. History has a longer memory than a news cycle. Some of Hitler’s enablers hanged. Some fled to South America. Some lived out quiet lives under assumed names. Eichmann made it to Buenos Aires. The Mossad found him in 1960.

The pursuit, when it comes, tends to be longer and more determined than the pursued expect.

On Saturday afternoon, the President of the United States posted AI images of naval warfare from his golf course while an actual naval conflict closed one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes. World leaders and adversaries watched in real time. The Republican Congress, with its classified briefings and its constitutional obligations, said nothing.

These posts are timestamped. They will sit in the archive alongside the Cuban Missile Crisis cables, the Eisenhower memos, the Roosevelt correspondence, the record of how American power was exercised at its most serious moments.

“Bye Bye, Drones.”

The record is the indictment. Everyone who had the power to intervene and chose silence is also in it.




--
****
Juan Matute
R.B.R.
C.C.R.C.